AI;DRWhat's happening in AI today?
AI;DRWhat's happening in AI today?

● ResearchNov 10, 2026 · 03:078 sources

Anthropic's AI Capability Gains Grow Eight Times as Costly Over Two Years as 2x R&D Threshold Draws Scrutiny

From marketbrief.now

AI;DR

Boosting AI model capabilities at Anthropic has become eight times as expensive as it was two years ago. Anthropic currently estimates its speedup at 1.88x. The company's Determination that it has not crossed its 2x Responsible Scaling Policy threshold for AI R&D acceleration rests on a "holistic judgment".

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Sources

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  1. SUPPORT@ramez“Anthropic is gaining exponentially less capability per billion dollars spent over time. It's now 8x as expensive to boost AI capabilities as it was 2 years ago, getting worse on a log scale.”x.com
  2. SUPPORT@peterwildeford“So Anthropic deciding they have not hit their AI R&D threshold is now a "holistic judgment." This threshold is 2x. Anthropic currently estimates 1.88x. 32 of their 100 refits hit 2x or more.”x.com
  3. SUPPORT@martin_casado“Given the original scaling laws this is basically what you'd expect. Although they were power laws, not exponential.”x.com
  4. SUPPORT@garymarcus“although GenAi companies are still eking out improvements, those improvements are coming at ever greater costs, in a way that is unlikely to be fiscally sustainable.”x.com
  5. SUPPORT@garymarcus“this startling new result showing just how expensive incremental improvements in generative AI have become, the bursting of the bubble may well be near.”x.com
#anthropic#llm#safetyScore 1.43.2k tokensMarkdown
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