--- format: "aidr-story-markdown/v1" id: "76239d25aae15dec0f0a34185d08a189415de8b3f692768a0f11eada3716e43e" canonical_url: "https://aidr.today/76239d25?lang=en" title: "Anthropic's AI Capability Gains Grow Eight Times as Costly Over Two Years as 2x R&D Threshold Draws Scrutiny" lang: "en" requested_lang: "en" available_langs: ["en","vi"] translation_fallback: null fallback_fields: [] published_at: "2026-11-09T20:07:32.000Z" category: "Research" topics: ["anthropic","llm","safety"] source_urls: ["https://marketbrief.now/ai/anthropics-ai-capability-gains-grow-eight-times-as-costly-over-two-years-db6a54d6","https://x.com/METR_Evals/status/2118412183860351084","https://x.com/ramez/status/2119568698524529098","https://x.com/Sam_McCandlish/status/2118422266669371519","https://x.com/peterwildeford/status/2119881084817080618","https://x.com/martin_casado/status/2119690724195397647","https://x.com/GaryMarcus/status/2119623547056455737","https://x.com/GaryMarcus/status/2119624303402418287"] summary: "Boosting AI model capabilities at Anthropic has become eight times as expensive as it was two years ago. Anthropic currently estimates its speedup at 1.88x. The company's Determination that it has not crossed its 2x Responsible Scaling Policy threshold for AI R&D acceleration rests on a \"holistic judgment\"." --- # Anthropic's AI Capability Gains Grow Eight Times as Costly Over Two Years as 2x R&D Threshold Draws Scrutiny > [Open the canonical story]() **Published:** 2026-11-09T20:07:32.000Z **Category:** Research **Topics:** anthropic, llm, safety ## Summary Boosting AI model capabilities at Anthropic has become eight times as expensive as it was two years ago\. Anthropic currently estimates its speedup at 1\.88x\. The company's Determination that it has not crossed its 2x Responsible Scaling Policy threshold for AI R&D acceleration rests on a "holistic judgment"\. ## Sources - [Story source]() - [Story source]() - [Supporting source]() - [Story source]() - [Supporting source]() - [Supporting source]() - [Supporting source]() - [Supporting source]()