AI;DRWhat's happening in AI today?
AI;DRWhat's happening in AI today?

● ResearchNov 11, 2026 · 01:028 sources

The AI Futures Project updates its AI timelines after METR's report on Anthropic R&D, saying it now expects a Superhuman AI Researcher to arrive in 2027 (AI Futures Project)

From techmeme.com

AI;DR

The AI Futures Project updates its AI timelines following METR's report on Anthropic R&D. The project now expects a Superhuman AI Researcher to arrive in 2027.

Read originalSign in to suggest
Image: techmeme.com

Sources

+ 5 more
  1. SUPPORT@chrisgpt“Specifically the number they give for their current-pace extrapolation is a 65% chance of a superhuman AI researcher by the end of 2027.”x.com
  2. SUPPORT@andrewcurran_“They now predict that 95% of Anthropic's R&D will be fully automated by November 2027. This is what Anthropic describes as AL5, fully autonomous RSI.”x.com
  3. SUPPORT@dkokotajlo“Unfortunately, it seems like the intelligence explosion will be happening in 2027 after all. Most of this post analyzes the new METR report (though other sources of evidence are also important). If they’re right, that implies an AI-driven acceleration that is 5 months ahead of the AI 2027 scenario.”x.com
  4. SUPPORT@hesamation““We are likely to see ~5 years worth of historical AI progress in 2027”, this is the updated forecast from AI Futures Project.”x.com
  5. SUPPORT@metr_evals“We submitted a ~100-page full report on our assessment to Anthropic. For the public version, Anthropic redacted a majority of the evidence we found most informative.”x.com
#anthropic#agent#llmScore 2.63.3k tokensMarkdown
Read original